Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #3
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 1.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 74.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
6  Madison Fruchey 12 18:20
17  Abby Green 9 18:39
90  Leah Metzger 10 19:36
100  Meagan Hathaway 9 19:43
105  Maggie Falater 10 19:46
111  Allison Thomas 11 19:48
336  Emily Ryan 11 20:51
514  Kathleen Ellingson 9 21:21
540  Elizabeth Lohman 11 21:26
603  Leslie Eckerly 10 21:38
607  Molly Duffner 9 21:38
708  Jadynn Kable 9 21:54
713  Hannah Loeffler 9 21:54
743  Mia Depillo 12 21:59
Grace Bassett 11 22:03
Ashlee Thomas 11 22:06
Cassie Pontius 11 22:22
DateRace Rating
08/22 Huntington Invitational 137
09/05 Marion Invitational 150
09/12 Bruin Invitational 641
09/19 Flashrock Invitational 182
09/26 Culver Invitational 175
10/10 Northrop Sectional 183
10/17 West Noble Regional 160
10/24 New Haven Semi-State 161
10/31 State Finals 152




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 4.4 197 1.7 19.8 24.4 16.9 11.4 8.7 5.6 4.2 2.6 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.5 70 66.3 21.9 8.7 2.9 0.3
Regionals 100% 1.2 42 80.8 19.2
Sectionals 100% 1.2 26 76.6 23.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 100% 6.4 1.4 7.6 9.8 10.2 9.5 8.9 7.2 6.6 5.7 5.3 4.5 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.5 1.6 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 100.0%
Abby Green 100% 16.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.6 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.8 4.4 4.8 4.3 4.5 4.0 4.4 3.8 3.4 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.6 100.0%
Leah Metzger 100% 83.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 59.4%
Meagan Hathaway 100% 96.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.6%
Maggie Falater 100% 100.9 0.0 0.0 35.7%
Allison Thomas 100% 105.0 0.0 29.6%
Emily Ryan 100% 185.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 100% 1.7 30.3 29.3 19.7 10.7 5.6 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Abby Green 100% 4.4 1.5 7.5 14.4 18.6 18.6 15.0 11.2 5.9 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Leah Metzger 100% 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.8 5.1 4.7 4.7 5.1 4.6 4.3 3.8 3.7 100.0%
Meagan Hathaway 100% 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.4 2.6 3.1 3.6 4.1 3.9 3.9 4.3 3.8 3.7 4.3 100.0%
Maggie Falater 100% 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.7 4.3 3.9 3.6 100.0%
Allison Thomas 100% 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.5 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.6 100.0%
Emily Ryan 100% 80.0 41.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 100% 1.0 57.8 25.3 10.9 4.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Abby Green 100% 3.0 4.1 21.3 25.8 23.3 17.2 6.2 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Leah Metzger 100% 10.8 0.1 0.4 2.9 6.5 9.3 11.1 10.7 10.7 9.8 8.6 7.3 6.4 4.8 3.8 2.6 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Meagan Hathaway 100% 13.1 0.1 0.9 2.4 4.6 6.6 7.9 8.3 9.0 9.3 9.0 8.3 7.9 6.7 5.6 4.6 3.3 2.5 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Maggie Falater 100% 14.1 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 4.5 6.2 7.4 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.2 8.9 8.0 7.3 5.5 4.5 3.4 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 100.0%
Allison Thomas 100% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 2.9 4.8 6.0 7.0 7.6 8.7 9.1 9.0 8.7 8.1 7.3 6.2 4.5 2.7 1.6 1.1 0.7 100.0%
Emily Ryan 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.2 3.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 1.0 83.0 15.1 1.8 0.0
Abby Green 1.8 6.9 56.4 35.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Leah Metzger 5.8 0.0 0.8 20.0 17.6 14.8 12.2 9.2 7.6 6.1 4.1 3.3 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Meagan Hathaway 7.7 0.2 7.2 10.4 11.7 12.3 11.6 10.6 9.5 8.5 6.8 4.5 3.3 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maggie Falater 8.4 0.1 4.7 7.3 10.1 11.1 11.9 11.3 10.6 9.5 7.8 5.8 4.6 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Allison Thomas 9.1 0.1 3.1 6.0 8.5 9.0 10.7 11.4 10.4 10.6 8.8 8.0 5.9 3.7 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Emily Ryan 21.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 3.3 5.5 8.4 11.9 14.3 14.7 12.4 9.6 7.3